Classic signs of military miscalculation
Spirits Are High in Syria’s Capital as Leaders Openly Show Support for Hezbollah - New York Times
The mood here in Syria’s capital was defiant, even gleeful, on Saturday as Hezbollah continued its rocket attacks on northern Israel.Pop radio stations played jingoistic military marches, and the state-run daily newspaper, Tishreen, reported on a meeting of the ruling Syrian Baath Party by saying, “participants expressed Syria’s firm stance in support of the Lebanese national resistance.”…
Imad Fauzi Shueibi, a political analyst who often works as a consultant to the Syrian government, laughed as he said that he believed that Israel was being drawn into a trap if it thought it could successfully fight on two, or even three, fronts….
Israel and the United States have said that they attribute a supporting role in Hezbollah’s attacks on Israel to Syria, and many Syrians are now talking about the possibility of a battle with Israel in the Golan region.
“I am laughing because I am so happy to see that in Israel there are these very stupid leaders,” Dr. Fauzi Shueibi said. “Israel has nothing to gain by changing the balance of power in the region. To fight on two fronts at the same time is stupid; if they try to open three fronts, that will be madness.”
“No one can believe that this will stop without a huge victory for Hezbollah and for Syria,” he added. “I haven’t felt so optimistic since 1973. I think we are closing the noose on Israel. This may be the last battle, and we may be able to redraw the map of the Middle East, but not on the schedule of America’s plan for the greater Middle East.”…
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Syrian analysts noted with some pride that Syria will have a central role in any peace agreement, and that the United States may now be forced to make a deal with Syria because of Hezbollah’s actions.“Syria has demonstrated once again that it can’t be marginalized,” said Dr. Kabalan, the political science professor. “It has succeeded in turning the tables on the Americans. Syria has demonstrated successfully that it is still here and still in control.”
This cocky attitude struck me as very, very ominous because it shows all the classic signs of a major military miscalculation.
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